The 2023-2024 El Niño is 'one of the five strongest on record,' based on World Meteorological Organization data. Meanwhile, there is a 55% chance of La Niña developing in June-July-August 2024.
The low pressure area that used to be Tropical Depression Kabayan (Jelawat) is still bringing rain to parts of Mindanao and the Visayas on Monday, December 18
PAGASA says Tropical Depression Kabayan is 'likely to maintain its strength until its initial landfall over Mindanao,' but there is also a chance of it intensifying into a tropical storm before hitting land
The low pressure area could still redevelop into a tropical depression and possibly enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility as early as Wednesday, November 15
PAGASA says the tropical depression outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility may weaken into a low pressure area by Tuesday, November 14, then later strengthen back into a tropical cyclone
Here is PAGASA's initial forecast, released on Monday, November 13, for a newly formed tropical depression outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility
Expect surges of cold temperatures due to the northeast monsoon in the coming months, although El Niño may also cause 'drier-than-usual conditions' in some areas
The new low pressure area is less likely to develop into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours, but it is bringing scattered rain to some areas on Thursday, October 12
Typhoon Jenny (Koinu) is no longer bringing rain or severe winds to any part of the Philippines. But the southwest monsoon is causing scattered rain in parts of Luzon on Friday, October 6.
Signal Nos. 1 and 2 are still in effect due to Typhoon Jenny (Koinu) even after the tropical cyclone's exit from the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Thursday afternoon, October 5